This is an interesting topic because people think this will cause a boom in births which we do not think it will. What this issue does not cover the real issue which is that boys are preferred over girls because it is the responsible of the boy to take care of the parents when they are older. The preferring of the boys is part of the culture and is the larger issue. The reason that it will not be a big boom is because Chinese can have more than 1 child depending on their situation now. For example, my wife is an only child born in 1981 with parents from a small village and they could try for another child but my mother in-law did not want a second baby because it cost money. Currently the people who have money just have a second baby and pay the fine or travel to another country to deliver the baby. Another example, my wife’s cousin had a second baby and she worked for a government water works and they said she had to pay the fine for the second baby or be fired. They are successful and paid the fine but she was still fired from her government job. Also, if you get divorced you can have another child with your new spouse. My wife definitely does not see a big boom because she said the most important factor is money to care for the baby and education is high on the list.
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